A subway for Greater Winnipeg probably will be suggested in a survey of the area's transit problems, due for release in the next two weeks, Jack Blumberg, Greater Winnipeg Transit Commission chairman told The Tribune today.

Otherwise, said the chairman, if the predictions of experts are correct that passenger use of buses will fall by millions in the next few years, it will be "the end of the transit commission."

He said the transit commission cannot be improved any more. Its equipment is at the maximum of development now. If more money were available for operations it would keep fares down. But clogged city streets prevented any better service being introduced.

"We have 410 pieces of equipment now, more than most other cities this size. In rush hours they are running practically back to back."

For several months Norman Wilson, traffic expert has been studying the transit commission's problems. But Mr. Blumberg feels it will conflict with the Wilbur Smith report on Greater Winnipeg traffic which "dealt only with the movement of surface traffic."

"I feel Wilson will suggest some form of subway. The costs would be the same as for expressways, which become plugged as soon as you build them."

Mr. Blumberg said some transit officials agree with the Smith report that passenger volume will drop one-third between now and 1980. If so, "we can practically fold up. There would be no semblance of a transit system."

Even fares have dropped by seven million since Mr. Blumberg became chairman two years ago, he does not feel it will ever drop off to the extent predicted in the Smith report.

The down trend can be slowed, he said, if the city gets "some other type of transportation than our present bus service. A subway."

However, he admitted the transit commission would not be able to handle the cost of a subway alone. It would require some kind of metropolitan authority, he said.

Transit was unable to buck the present traffic situation in the city, he said. "During the last snow storms the community was completely backed up. They could have travelled underground."

Without some new form of public transportation the "outlook is pretty bleak as far as service and fares are concerned after a few years."

There was no danger of fares going up before 1961 or 1962, he said. There is almost $1 million in the fare stabilization fund.

But he warned that the lowest fares in United States cities now are 20 cents and increasing. Fares might go as high as 25 cents in Winnnipeg in the future, he said.